Energy Security for Nigeria: A Strategic Vision by Aliko Dangote

Aliko Dangote’s long-term vision for Nigeria’s energy security, as realized through the Dangote Refinery, is a remarkable story of navigating complex challenges and overcoming significant hurdles. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Dangote recounted the obstacles he faced in the construction of the refinery, detailing how he managed to overcome them through determination and strategic thinking.
The sheer size and technological superiority of the Dangote Refinery position it as a key player in securing Nigeria’s energy needs, both in the short and long term. Since the discovery of hydrocarbon deposits on Nigeria’s continental shelf, the refinery has taken the lead in ensuring that the country maximizes the benefits of its resources by achieving self-sufficiency in petroleum products. While the NNPC had a head start in the oil industry, Dangote Refinery is now at the forefront, pushing Nigeria toward energy independence.
Aliko Dangote has proven, beyond any reasonable doubt, his sharp business acumen, intellect, and relentless pursuit of his dreams. The risk he took on this enormous project is comparable to the legendary military feats of Alexander the Great. By undertaking this refinery, Dangote has shaken up the status quo and challenged the dominant players in the global oil industry. The consistent failure of successive Nigerian governments, both military and civilian, to revitalize the country’s four refineries makes Dangote’s achievements even more commendable, deserving a place in Nigeria’s hall of fame.
In the words of General Buhari, after he overthrew the government of Shehu Shagari: “We have no country other than Nigeria; we must stay and salvage it together.” Aliko Dangote has embodied this sentiment, taking up the challenge to ensure that Nigeria becomes truly independent in its petroleum product needs, thereby strengthening its energy security.
The most impressive feature of the Dangote Refinery is its capacity to supply Nigeria’s full range of petroleum products—PMS, AGO, DPK, LPFO, and HPFO—along with numerous other by-products of crude oil. This will feed local industries without the need to open letters of credit, thereby saving foreign exchange and earning additional revenue from exports. As a result, Nigeria’s foreign reserves will grow, and the Naira will gain strength on the international market.
Nigeria’s political leadership now has in Aliko Dangote a local businessman with whom it can collaborate to propel the country to greater heights. It is particularly gratifying to note Dangote’s acknowledgment of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s support, as evidenced by the directive for NNPCL to sell crude oil to Dangote Refinery in Naira. It would be advisable, however, for the exchange rate used in such transactions to be pegged at 1/100th of a dollar, rather than 1/1000th, to ensure that Nigerians truly benefit from the president’s initiative.
Furthermore, NNPCL should revisit its negotiations with Dangote Refinery with the aim of increasing its stake from the current 7% to the originally proposed 20%. This could be accomplished by valuing NNPCL’s assets—such as pipelines, depots, and retail outlets—and transferring them to the refinery in exchange for equity. This arrangement would create a win-win situation for the country.
Aliko Dangote has undoubtedly rescued Nigeria from its previous energy struggles by identifying and seizing an investment opportunity in the downstream oil and gas sector. This sector was once dominated by powerful interest groups determined to undermine Nigeria’s economic growth and prosperity. Dangote’s strategic foresight and bold decision-making have not only confronted these forces but have also ensured that Nigeria reclaims control of its energy future.
In this sense, Dangote’s visionary approach to business is evident in his ability to identify and capitalize on opportunities that involve cutting-edge technology, steady growth, profitability, and high potential. He has acknowledged that the cartel controlling the oil industry is far more dangerous than even the most notorious drug cartels. Yet, he has successfully faced these challenges and emerged victorious.
What’s next for Dangote? Having ventured into the challenging oil and gas sector, his next move could well be toward Nigeria’s struggling iron and steel industry. If NNPCL’s failures in the oil industry are anything to go by, it’s not far-fetched to imagine that Dangote might turn his attention to Ajaokuta Steel and Delta Steel Rolling Mills. When the dust settles in the oil industry, his next conquest may very well be the iron and steel sector.
Mahmud Shuaibu Ringim
HALIM Consulting Ltd
mahmudshuaibu44@gmail.com